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Posted by: asskickingboots
12-08-2020, 11:05 PM
Forum: HG Memorial Chiefs Talk
- Replies (13)

Miami will always have a fond place in the hearts of Chiefs fans and with the team clenching a playoff berth perhaps thinking postseason is appropriate. But if the Chiefs want the easiest path back to Florida, Raymond James Stadium this time, they've got to keep winning and see another Steelers loss.

The Dolphins have kind of been an afterthought even as they've gotten off to a surprising 8-4 record, overshadowed no longer by the Patriots but by the 9-3 Bills that beat them earlier in the year. But perhaps that isn't fair. The Dolphins have a far better point differential (+91 vs. +27) and have gotten better as the year has went on. Are they the more legit team from the AFC East?

I think Miami is a competent team. I don't think they're as good as their record and point differential though. They haven't had an easy schedule... they'd had the easiest, at least by combined opponents' winning record.

Two of their wins and +41 points of their differential have came against the Jets and they have played all the last place AFC teams. They really only have one quality win, a 28-17 victory over the Rams (8-4) where they were outgained 145 vs. 471 in total yards, but they lost every other game against a team that has a winning record now.

The weirdest part was switching from Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB, a veteran so Cagey he's like Nicolas Cage in Deadfall, to rookie QB Tua Tagavaloa in the middle of the team's winning streak. Tua has looked good because the team has been winning, but it's not like he's lit the statsheet on fire.

Miami is an average team that's gotten some breaks including some breaks in the schedule. They aren't bad. They aren't that good either. That's a hell of an improvement over last year, they should be proud.

Meanwhile I see a lot of national talking heads talking about how the Chiefs offense struggled... after they had 447 total yards and zero turnovers against the Broncos.

Nearly 450 yards isn't struggling for anyone except the best offense. They just easily could have and should have had more points. Tyreek Hill had 3 surefire TDs alone that almost or did actually happen (the failed no-challenge, the backflip play with the penalty bringing it back, and another wide open play where he failed to track the ball).

I don't know if it's invincible ignorance, incompetence, the desire for a dumbass hawt taek, or hopefulness on the parts of these media types to downplay the Chiefs offense any time they have less than 25 points, but it's as hilarious as it is pathetic.

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Posted by: asskickingboots
12-01-2020, 09:12 PM
Forum: HG Memorial Chiefs Talk
- Replies (7)

The last time the Chiefs faced the Broncos they actually had rostered QBs. They even had their golden child, their QBotF, Drew Lock. The Chiefs rolled them 43-16 in Denver. That's just one point's difference (27) than the point differential the Saints put on them (28) without the luxury of having a QB.

Obviously, the Broncos QB situation is going to be somehow improved over last week, and if anything they were as mistreated as a $2 hooker by the league, but there's no way to avoid mentioning it. It's too funny and everyone knows they weren't going to beat the Saints no matter what anyway, even without Brees.

I think as amazing at it sounds our already avenged loss to the Raiders might be the singular and signature Andy Reid weird loss of the year. I don't think he's looking past anyone now, especially a division foe.

Not too much reason to get into advanced stats. The Chiefs have a +110 point differential and the Broncos have -89. There's no comparison to be had.

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Posted by: tyecopeland
11-27-2020, 10:18 PM
Forum: HG Memorial Chiefs Talk
- Replies (15)

I've got no statistical analysis to provide. But I believe Mahomes evens the record against brady.

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Posted by: Razorchief
11-16-2020, 06:52 PM
Forum: HG Memorial Chiefs Talk
- Replies (13)

Let's get this party started.
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/3033...-andy-reid

Reid already getting it going. Pissed at what Raiders did after the game at Arrowhead

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Posted by: asskickingboots
11-16-2020, 06:52 PM
Forum: HG Memorial Chiefs Talk
- Replies (10)

Revenge
Primetime
Andy Reid off a Bye
The Stupid Roomba Stadium
There's a lot going on here.

Obviously the Raiders aren't a bad team. I still think they're frauds though. They might be a legit playoff team, not a real contender.

So, what's the difference? Just look at the point differential category.

The Chiefs are 8-1 with the best point differential in the NFL at +103. The Raiders are 6-3 with a point differential of +14, slightly above average so their record is somewhat fortunate for them. Before they beat up on the Broncos last weekend by 25 points that means they were -11. They haven't looked the part of a contender even in most of their wins.

Advanced stats show this too. DVOA has the Chiefs ranked 1st in offense and the Raiders ranked a respectable 12th. However, defensively the Chiefs are 13th and the Raiders are 30th. Total team DVOA puts the Chiefs at 3 which is the best in the AFC and the Raiders at 22nd.

Simply put the Raiders are somewhere between a mirage and lucky, and it's high time they get put down back where they belong.

Also, I'm a little pissed because my fiancee planned a trip to Vegas for us to go to this game and Covid took that away from me. Fuck you, Covid!

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Posted by: asskickingboots
11-03-2020, 09:47 PM
Forum: HG Memorial Chiefs Talk
- Replies (11)

Fantasy football players are likely well aware of Christian McCaffrey's absence much of this season due to injury. This game potentially marks his return to football.

The Panthers offense has been substandard without him, but they have not been entirely incompetent. They still are surprisingly efficient in a number of areas. RB Mike Davis still is averaging 4.2 ypc, which is okay. Teddy Bridgewater has been efficient and overall pretty decent, albeit mostly a short yardage thrower with a completion percentage over 71%.

They really aren't that far off from being a decent team, and adding CMC back should get them closer, but there's a reason why they're 3-5, have a -14 point differential, and have dropped their last 3, and it isn't all on CMC.

This game also marks the return of AKB. This will be my first game back in the stands since the AFC Championship Game. Going to be a weird feeling, but I'm ready for it.

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Posted by: asskickingboots
10-26-2020, 03:27 PM
Forum: HG Memorial Chiefs Talk
- Replies (17)

The opening line on this game was 21.5... Three fucking touchdown favorites.

You could play Sarah McClachlan music over video of the Jet sidelines. Adopt a Jet today! The Chiefs did their part by snagging Le'Veon Bell. Shame they couldn't also get Adams earlier.

I'm going to keep my powder dry. There's no reason for me to verbally lambast the 0-7 Jets' chances against the champs. We all know how this is gonna go.

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Posted by: asskickingboots
10-20-2020, 05:27 PM
Forum: HG Memorial Chiefs Talk
- Replies (13)

I went into this season believing the Broncos were our biggest threat because I believed Drew Lock was the next best QB in the divison, but then a number of players got hurt including Von Miller. They started the year 0-3 and I had them dead and buried like most everyone else.

After just 2 wins and their glory boy Drew Lock returning, suddenly they think they're on top of the world. That's great. I always think it's more fun to beat division rivals when they think they have hope.

Lock did not have some great game against the Pats. In fact, he sucked. He was 10/24, 0 TDs, and 2 INTs, yet I'm seeing praise heaped upon him for a very Tim Tebow like stat line minus all of the rushing yards. I'm guessing some of these people didn't really watch the game.

The Chiefs defense stepped up again. This time they took an offense that was averaging over 400 yards a game and damn near halved them to 206 yards. They have not been consistent this year, but they've showcased the ability to outright take a game over.

Let's face it, if the Chiefs have truly figured out the running game, everyone else is screwed. CEH had a great game and averaged 6.2 ypc, but even the other backs combined for 5.25 ypc. Adding someone with the talent of Bell could absolutely wreck our opposition.

I'm curious what the shuffling around on the offensive line has contributed to the sudden outburst on the ground. It may be as simple as the Bills overplayed the "don't give up anything deep" meme of a strategy and therefore watched they're bigs get jostled. I don't think it's that simple though, but we'll see going forward if run blocking is our new found strength.

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Posted by: asskickingboots
10-14-2020, 01:53 PM
Forum: HG Memorial Chiefs Talk
- Replies (14)

The Chiefs are 4-1 and I'm already hearing how they've been "figured out". We're doomed. We'll never win another game. All you have to do is run the same defense repeatedly and Mahomes will never figure it out, yet alone have success against it again after a few drives but with time working against him.

Meanwhile the Bills also lost finally to the Titans on a *checks paperwork* Tuesday? Hard to imagine anybody is worth a damn out of these two incredibly flawed teams.

I don't know how to break it to everyone that's out there overreacting, this is another potential preview for the AFC Championship game. Mahomes will not only bounce back, he will break some hearts.

Gotta get back to work, I'll dive into some stats for this game later.

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Posted by: asskickingboots
10-08-2020, 09:03 AM
Forum: HG Memorial Chiefs Talk
- Replies (16)

IT'S RAIDER WEEK!!!

The Raiders started off thinking they were hot shit because they went 2-0 to start the year. Since then they've lost to the Patriots (albeit with Cam) and the Bills. Note the Bills are undefeated, but they've only faced the Jets, Dolphins, Rams, and Raiders, hardly a murderer's row.

But let's be honest, facing the Panthers, Saints, Patriots, and Bills s a fairly tough schedule other than the Panthers for the Raiders and I would not have expected them to be 2-2 at this point. However, they just have not looked good the last couple weeks.

Considering we already beat the Chargers once and the Broncos have physically fallen apart, the Raiders may be our biggest yet laughably small hurdle to clear for continued AFC West supremacy.

Derek Carr sucks. I saw someone point out on Twitter that the Patriots were double teaming Carr's checkdowns... HIS CHECKDOWNS! That is as hilarious as it is insane and IT WORKED!

I wish I had more time to elaborate, but I'll let you guys fill in details for now. Go CHIEFS!!!

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